Statistically Speaking

August 26, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
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Statistically speaking – Darren Spence

Friday 27 July 2012

Meatloaf had a hit with 2 out of 3 ain’t bad but I seriously doubt Mark Neeld would have been belting out any tunes from ‘Bat Out Of Hell’ at AAMI Park this week as the Demons disappointingly lost – what I thought was a winnable game – to Port Adelaide.  History has shown that if you break even on disposals and clearances, have more tackles, more marks and 10 more inside 50s than your opposition then you will most likely win the contest.  Yet sadly it wasn’t ‘It’s A Grand Old Flag’ being played late on Saturday night.

Last week saw the start of the Holy month of Ramadan – the Muslim month of fasting in which Muslims refrain from dawn until sunset from eating and drinking – and it is Melbourne that is going through its own form of fasting as we continue to lament the loss of both Mitch Clark and LJ and continue to struggle to kick winning scores.  The positive thing is that we are getting the ball into our attacking 50 and (as I said earlier) winning our fair share of the ball – this augurs well for the future and is showing that our game plan is starting to gel with the players.  We seem now to be more than competitive in large parts of the game, winning our 2nd opening quarter in a row and now we just need to replicate these performances throughout the entire game.   I am positive this will come – sooner rather than later!

As much as the players and staff will be hurting, there were some pleasing performances in the hot and humid conditions up in Darwin.

  • Our co-captain Jack Grimes was the leading possession getter on the ground with 32 disposals and he followed that up with 11 marks and 4 tackles in a game where he really led from the front.
  • Nathan Jones continued his fantastic season with 26 disposals – capped off with a goal.
  • I was really impressed with Neville Jetta’s game. In his first game for the year he had 18 touches in a welcome return to the senior side.
  • Brad Green battled hard all night for 2 goals 3 behinds and two of our younger players in Dan Nicholson and Tom McDonald also deserve mention for putting in solid performances on Saturday night.
  • A final mention to Jeremy Howe who has a mortgage on the Mark of the Year for 2012 and continues to delight fans with almost a hanger a week!

This week it is the Roos.  North have had the wood on us of late – winning the last nine games against us.  With North still in the hunt for a finals berth and our boys fired up to atone for last week, we hope to see the Dees put a real dint in North Melbourne’s finals aspirations.

Go Dees

Darren Spence

Random Numbers

August 26, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
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Random Numbers by Darren Spence
19 August 2012

943, 375, 563, 5, 40 – seemingly random numbers – numbers of little significance.  However 40 is an important number in Jewish, Christian and Islamic religion, 5 and 563 are both prime numbers, 9 carat gold is 375 parts per hundred gold and 943 is used to denote SAR943 – a rapamycin analogue used in the treatment of brain tumours – now come on it was the best I could come up with!
But besides all this, these numbers have a huge significance to me as the Mighty Demons have played 943 games since I started following them, they have won 375 of these games, losing 563 and drawing 5 for a (sadly) win percentage of 40%.  Why am I mentioning this?  Because of any of the 563 losses I have to say last weeks’ loss left me with more hope for the future than any other I can remember.
Don’t get me wrong.  I am hardly about to start writing that I am now happy with ‘honourable losses’ but the Demon worshipping bad karma certainly came back to bite us on Saturday as injuries again cruelly robbed the Dees of a win against the in form Dockers.  I know the club have come out and said there was no excuse, and they are right but losing Jamar early, then sadly Bennell and needing Grimes to courageously play on with a crook ankle, was a horrible blow.
What has got me enthused about the future of our beloved club is the elements of our future game plan becoming more and more successful and obvious every week and the blossoming of our young kids as they gain more confidence and experience as the season goes on.  We had some serious teething problems early in the year that now appear to be ironed out.  You can certainly be confident with the fact that if we had the full compliment of our senior list available we would definitely not be 3rd last on the table. There are happy times ahead.
And there were happy times on the weekend only to be snuffed out as our boys were steamrolled in the last quarter on the back of the Demons having more walking wounded than combatants in The Battle of the Somme.  Our first quarter was undoubtedly our best quarter for the year – 20 inside 50s (when we have only been averaging a total of 45 per game this year), winning the possession count and kicking six goals, is a barometer of things to come.  We had some good performances on the back of the loss and here are a few that deserve mentioning.
  • Colin Sylvia led our possession count with 23 and kicked a goal and is showing why he is one of the most important players on our list.
  • In a remarkable recovery from a serious lung injury, Tom McDonald quickly slotted back into his pre – injury form with 17 touches in another solid game from the young Demon.
  • Stefan Martin took full advantage of the Big Russian’s misfortune playing an admirable game against Griffin with 19 disposals, 26 hit outs and 2 goals and reminding Demon fans just what we have missed this year with Stef out through injury.
  • Jack Grimes battled well through injury notching up 22 possessions, as did Joel Macdonald in arguably his best game for the year.
  • A welcome return to the team from our ex skipper Brad Green with 3 goals and I liked the way Daniel Nicholson worked hard all day – 18 disposals his reward.
  • Solid efforts also by our other co-captain Jack Trengove and Nathan Jones and it was great to see James Strauss running around again (albeit at the misfortune of Luke Tapscott and Mark Jamar).  A special final mention to Tom Couch who made his long awaited debut and picking up 13 touches and laying 9 tackles showed just why the Demons’ brains trust were so keen on him.  I for one am looking forward to seeing many more games from him in red and blue in the years to come.
This week we are up in Darwin against the Power.  We remarkably are undefeated up the Top End and on Saturday night I am 100% sure the boys will be out to keep it that way!
Enjoy the weekend and Go Dees!

Ivor Warne Smith at CHB!

August 26, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
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10 July 2012
I have never really liked Eddie McGuire…..it is a combination of things….the fact he is President of a club I despise, the way he carries on like he is President of the World and that his club is so much better than everyone else….I just don’t like him and I groan when I find out he is commentating Demon games. I try to switch off and ignore what he has to say and here is a selection of comments from the weekend game that give credence to my behaviour…
1) Saying we were 32 points down when we were actually 22 behind (perhaps I shouldn’t be so harsh – he did grow up in Broadmeadows after all)
2) Claiming Garland took a strong mark when it was quite obviously Jared Rivers
3) Banging on about how the Tigers were only 1% point behind the Blues for a spot in the 8 and how engrossed he was in this statistic…..Eddie there are 436 rounds left in the season!…..(as I said he is from Broadmeadows).
HOWEVER…..I am about to argue against myself here as I am in full support of Sir McGuire’s claim to fix the stupid review system!  It is an absolute joke!  I was completely discombobulated with how James Magner’s goal was disallowed and to be fair the Tiger’s were stiff as well.  None of these decisions actually had any bearing on the result (but that’s really not the point) though had Magner’s goal been allowed we would have been within a goal and on a roll….listen to Eddie please! (boy I never ever thought in my life I would be saying that!).
The controversy over the review system cast a shadow over the game on Saturday which saw a poor start by the Demons result in our second loss for the season against Richmond.  The start was really disappointing and unfortunately a worrying trend this year continues where teams get on a roll against us for short periods of the game effectively destroying any chance of a Melbourne triumph.  We were 26 points down before we even looked like scoring (by rights it should have been more had the Tigers kicked straight) and whilst we were 38 points down at the final change, the boys fought back valiantly to finish the game 23 points in arrears.  6 goals 6 in the last quarter was a pleasing result although it fails to erase the frustration of our shocking start.
We had some solid contributors on the day and here are some of them.
First off – cue the alogorithm – <NATHAN JONES> leading possession getter for the Dees. He finished with 25 touches and a goal in what is sure to be another ‘Bluey’ vote attracting game.  Colin Sylvia also pick up 25 disposals and snagged a goal and as I said last week he seems to be getting back to the form we all love to see from Silver.
I know Jack Riewoldt missed a few goals on the weekend but Chippa Frawley did an outstanding job on him restricting him to 1 goal (from a dodgy free at that).  He really has the wood on the young Tiger gun forward and a large contributing factor to Jack’s inaccuracy is the way Chippa forces him to lead wide resulting in inevitable difficult shots on goal.  Sadly there aren’t too many players on our list at present that you could say would walk into every AFL clubs’ best 22…….James Frawley is one of them.
Jake ‘the pencil’ Spencer!….now he is getting a mention for the first time in this report and this is based on some of his second efforts on the weekend.  He chased hard, tackled hard and really can hold his head up high after his efforts.
Another tall man in Stefan Martin played well on Saturday.  2 goals to go with 20 hit outs and 18 disposals equals a solid game by a man that I truly believe we have missed this year and let’s hope he can continue his form the rest of the season.
This Saturday we come against the Dockers. Freo are in good form at the moment and we are at our ‘hoodoo ground’ at Etihad Stadium. Fair dinkum….the last time we won there Ivor Warne-Smith was playing CHB but there is no time like this week to address our poor form at this ground and put a real dent in Fremantle’s finals aspirations.
Enjoy the weekend and Go Dees!

Darren

life: it goes on

August 26, 2012 by · Leave a Comment
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Thursday 5 July 2012

Robert Frost once said “In three words I can sum up everything I’ve learned about life: it goes on”.  These words would have been ringing in the ears of the Demons’ brains trust after our loss against the Lions on Sunday.  No Clark, No Jamar, No Jones, No Davey, No Green, No LJ, No Bartram, our rising star nomination from last week down and out virtually in the first minute of the game….  Are you kidding me!!???  Flash, Green, LJ and Bratram have been out for a while but to lose our number 1 forward, our leading ruckman, our best player this year by a street and a young gun who has been in some great form this year was a cruel blow to the mighty Dees and whilst you will not hear any excuses coming from the lips of Mark Neeld it really was little surprise we didn’t come away with the chocolates up at the Gabba.

But like the Black Knight’s fighting response to King Arthur in Monty Python’s Holy Grail – “Look you’ve got no arms left”…..’It’s only a flesh wound” the boys did put up a valiant effort.  Amazingly (given the final score) we actually had more inside 50s and more contested possessions than the Lions – a very pleasing result on a day when little else went right.  The fact that we failed to convert our inside 50s into scores is a reflection of the huge hole left by Clark.   And our lack of spread leading us to be smashed in uncontested possessions was not helped by being one man down early in the hot and humid conditions in Brisbane.

However there were some solid performances from our boys on Sunday and here are some of them:

  • Colin Sylvia has started to put together some solid form and with 21 possessions, 7 marks, 5 tackles and a goal he is starting to get back to the player that we all have all so badly missed.
  • I keep ‘hounding’ Howe and on Sunday he was arguably our best player. In almost identical stats to Sylvia he also picked up 21 disposals coupled with 7 marks and capped off a solid day with a goal. In a year where some players have stood up and taken their game to a new level Jeremy Howe would undoubtedly be at the top of this list.
  • Stefan Martin heralded a welcome return to the senior side with a solid game. 21 disposals and 20 hit outs was a sound performance from the big man.
  • Others that warrant a mention include Sam Blease with 2 goals and I also liked the game from Jack Trengove.

This week it is the Tigers.  With a rivaly that stretches almost as far back as the game itself, these games are always big – regardless of their respective ladder positions – and this will be no exception.  Hopefully we will see the return of some of our key players this week but regardless it is another fantastic opportunity for our developing side to show what they’ve got on the big stage.  Let’s hope for some luck on the injury front and sit back and enjoy what is bound to be a fantastic contest.

Go Dees

Darren Spence

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